5月8日下午2:30，南开经济研究所双周学术讨论会将举行。

本期讲座题目为：Why Moral Cosmology Fails: Eclipses, Omen Discourse, and Political Power in Imperial China

欢迎老师、同学届时参加讲座。

主讲人 

孙程九 讲师

主讲人简介: 孙程九，南开大学经济学院讲师。研究领域为经济史、政治经济学、发展经济学等。先后主持国家社科基金青年项目、南开大学文科发展基金项目；目前已在Cliometrica、Journal of Environmental Economics and Management、《经济学》（季刊）等国内外核心期刊发表多篇论文。

讲座摘要：This paper examines whether moral cosmology developed by Confucian scholar-officials functioned as an accountability mechanism in imperial China. Using an original dataset, we document that solar eclipses strengthened autocracy, as evidenced by a reduced likelihood of irregular emperor removal. Although omens like eclipses were theoretically seen as Heaven’s warnings, in practice, they instead became an instrument serving those in power. Supporting this interpretation, we find that eclipses increased the probability of chancellor replacement, enabling emperors to purge dissenters or exploit factional struggles to shift blame. These findings reveal a significant gap between omen discourse theory and its political implementation. 

讲座时间：2025年5月8日 下午2:30

讲座地点：经济学院八楼大会议室

主办单位：南开经济研究所